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Top MLB Weekend
Power Trends 7/3-7/5
Major League
Baseball reaches its halfway point of the 2009 season this
weekend, and with the 4th of July holiday upon us, the
sport will celebrate our Independence with a full slate of
games. While the action doesn’t match any division
leaders, or current playoff teams versus one another,
there are still several intriguing series’ in which
chasing clubs will be trying to make up key ground in
various races. We’ll look a bit closer at some of those
pairings. All three days this weekend will offer numerous
baseball betting opportunities, so get prepared by
utilizing our weekly Power Trends feature. You’ll find
that at the conclusion of this piece. Good luck.
In the
American League, two key series’ will garner most of the
attention. In Minnesota, the Twins host the Tigers for
three games, hoping to close the 3-game gap separating the
clubs in the A.L. Central Division. As usual, the Twins
gained some momentum by breezing through the N.L. in
Interleague play, going 12-6. They will look to pick up
where they left off back in mid-May against Detroit, when
they swept the Tigers in three games. The current Central
leaders are struggling a bit offensively, having topped
the 5-run mark just four times in the last 20 games.
The other
key A.L. series matches the Rays and Rangers from
Arlington. Tampa bay, the defending A.L. champion, looked
the part in a fabulous month of June, going 19-7 to move
to 9-games over .500. However, the Rays still have a lot
of ground to make up in the East Division, as Boston is
setting a steady pace. The Rangers are still hanging
around the top of the A.L. West and should get a huge
boost this weekend with the expected return of Josh
Hamilton to the lineup. Without him, they were 19-7 UNDER
the total in June.
In the
National League, the scuffling Cubs will continue a 4-game
set against Milwaukee at Wrigley. In each of the past two
years, Chicago used a home series around this time against
the division-leading Brewers to build momentum. They will
be looking for answers at the plate, as after leading the
N.L. in runs scored in ’08, Chicago bats are hitting just
.245 and producing just 4.15 runs per game. Milwaukee
isn’t exactly lighting up the scoreboard, but is getting a
reliable effort from its rebuilt bullpen. The Brewers have
been solid on the road this season, and boasted a 21-10
record against divisional foes heading into Thursday’s
series opener.
The other
key series to keep an eye on is in Philadelphia, where the
Phillies welcome divisional rival New York for 3-games.
The Mets have floundered without three of their biggest
bats in the lineup and were just 9-18 in the month of
June, yet because Philly hasn’t played well either, remain
in striking distance. The Phillies will be looking to
re-establish some home field advantage, as they have been
horrific for bettors as hosts, going 13-22 while losing
17.9 units to date. The Mets own a 3-2 lead in the season
series.
MILWAUKEE at CHICAGO CUBS
MILWAUKEE
is 21-10 (+10.4 Units) against the money line against
division opponents this season. The average score was
MILWAUKEE 5.3, OPPONENT 4.0 - (Rating = 1*)
PITTSBURGH at FLORIDA
FLORIDA is
21-4 OVER (+17.6 Units) when playing against a marginal
losing team (Win Pct. 46% to 49%) over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was FLORIDA 4.8, OPPONENT 6.0 - (Rating
= 4*)
ATLANTA at WASHINGTON
WASHINGTON
is 9-27 (-16.6 Units) against the money line vs. NL teams
scoring 4.3 or less runs/game on the season over the last
2 seasons. The average score was WASHINGTON 3.7, OPPONENT
5.2 - (Rating = 1*)
NY
METS at PHILADELPHIA
PHILADELPHIA is 13-22 (-17.9 Units) against the money line
in home games this season. The average score was
PHILADELPHIA 4.7, OPPONENT 5.7 - (Rating = 3*)
ST
LOUIS at CINCINNATI
ST LOUIS
is 17-8 (+11.1 Units) against the money line vs. a very
good bullpen whose ERA is 3.33 or better over the last 2
seasons. The average score was ST LOUIS 4.4, OPPONENT 4.2
- (Rating = 1*)
ARIZONA at COLORADO
ARIZONA is
33-54 (-26.6 Units) against the money line when playing
against a team with a winning record over the last 2
seasons. The average score was ARIZONA 4.3, OPPONENT 4.8 -
(Rating = 2*)
LA
DODGERS at SAN DIEGO
LA DODGERS
are 25-9 (+16.0 Units) against the money line vs. NL teams
allowing 4.8 or more runs/game on the season this season.
The average score was LA DODGERS 5.9, OPPONENT 3.9 -
(Rating = 2*)
HOUSTON at SAN FRANCISCO
HOUSTON is
39-16 UNDER (+21.2 Units) vs. NL teams allowing 4.3 or
less runs/game on the season over the last 2 seasons. The
average score was HOUSTON 3.5, OPPONENT 4.3 - (Rating =
2*)
TORONTO at NY YANKEES
TORONTO is
35-23 (+12.4 Units) against the money line vs. teams
outscoring opp by 0.5 or more runs/game on the season over
the last 2 seasons.The average score was TORONTO 4.8,
OPPONENT 3.2 - (Rating = 1*)
OAKLAND at CLEVELAND
CLEVELAND
is 9-15 (-9.8 Units) against the money line vs. an AL team
with a team batting average of .260 or worse this season.
The average score was CLEVELAND 3.8, OPPONENT 5.0 -
(Rating = 1*)
SEATTLE at BOSTON
SEATTLE is
18-6 UNDER (+11.3 Units) vs. a very good bullpen whose ERA
is 3.33 or better over the last 2 seasons. The average
score was SEATTLE 3.6, OPPONENT 4.0 - (Rating = 1*)
TAMPA
BAY at TEXAS
TAMPA BAY
is 20-46 (-21.9 Units) against the money line in road
games vs. a good bullpen that converts on 75%+ of their
save opportunities over the last 3 seasons. The average
score was TAMPA BAY 4.1, OPPONENT 5.1 - (Rating = 2*)
CHI
WHITE SOX at KANSAS CITY
CHI WHITE
SOX are 16-7 (+10.1 Units) against the money line vs. a
mediocre bullpen whose WHIP is 1.450 to 1.550 this season.
The average score was CHI WHITE SOX 5.5, OPPONENT 3.5 -
(Rating = 1*)
DETROIT at MINNESOTA
MINNESOTA
is 38-16 (+17.6 Units) against the money line in home
games vs. an AL team with a team batting average of .265
or worse over the last 2 seasons. The average score was
MINNESOTA 5.6, OPPONENT 4.0 - (Rating = 1*)
BALTIMORE at LA ANGELS
LA ANGELS
are 34-15 (+17.5 Units) against the money line vs. teams
outscored by opp by 0.5 or more runs/game on the season
over the last 2 seasons. The average score was LA ANGELS
5.3, OPPONENT 4.5 - (Rating = 1*)
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