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Arlington Park -
Race #1 - Post: 1:00pm
Rating:
   
Choice Plays:
#4 LORD OF THUNDER (ML=9/2)
#5 APOLLYONCOMESFIRST
(ML=8/5)
LORD OF THUNDER
- The return on investment
when Sanchez and Stidham
hook up is outstanding.
APOLLYONCOMESFIRST
- Have to make this colt a
serious competitor; he comes
off a strong effort on July
25th.
Vulnerable
Contenders: #6
BLYDE RIVER BOY (ML=5/2), #1
THRU THE DESERT (ML=7/2), #2
ATTRACTIVE RIDE (ML=8/1),
BLYDE RIVER BOY
- Didn't meet expectations
as the public's choice in
back to back races.
THRU THE DESERT -
Will be hard for this
thoroughbred to beat this
field off of that last speed
fig. Improbable to improve
enough to run a figure close
enough to today's class
rating, so put him on the
vulnerable competitors list.
ATTRACTIVE RIDE
- I'm foreseeing a
lackluster go out of him
this time around.
STRAIGHT WAGERS: |
#4 LORD OF THUNDER is
the play if we get odds
of 8/5 or better |
EXACTA
WAGERS: |
Box [4,5] |
TRIFECTA WAGERS: |
Pass |
Race 8 -
Stakes
- 6.0f on the Dirt. Purse:
$30000 Class Rating: 70
GOLD RUSH FUTURITY - TWO
YEAR OLDS. COLTS AND
GELDINGS 120 LBS. FILLIES
117 LBS. NON-WINNERS OF A
STAKES 2 LBS. NON-WINNERS OF
AN ALLOWANCE RACE 4 LBS.
NOMINATIONS CLOSE SUNDAY,
AUGUST 3RD. 6 FURLONGS.
RECOMMENDED CHOICES
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# 9 JIMNI
3/1
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# 1
HOMERUN KING 15/1
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# 10
MAJOR BIG TIME 2/1
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I have to consider JIMNI
here. Gleason has him
trained solidly to break
swiftly out of the starting
gate. Displays the look of a
money-making play, averaging
a solid 64 speed figure
which is one of the top in
this group of animals.
Gleason has a sound 18
percent win rate with
entries running at this
distance and surface.
HOMERUN KING
- Well above average win
rate at this
distance/surface.
MAJOR BIG TIME -
This one has been
consistently racing well
lately. He has earned
formidable figs under
today's conditions and will
most likely fare well versus
this group of horses in this
race.
Handicapped by Valuline at
Delaware Park
Today's Most
Likely Winner Is at:
Delaware Park, Race 2
(Sunday August 10, 2008)
EDDIE C.
(For ten of today's most
likely winners, see Exotic
Key Plays.)
DEL-2 1m1/16 DIRT Six Horses
"A" StHCP 16,000 3YUP $35,000
P# dd ex p3 t ML WP TVL
3 EDDIE C. 8/5 45% 6/5
6 SEA DUBAI 2/1 29% 5/2
Race 2 -
Maiden Claiming
- 8.5f on the Dirt. Purse:
$6000 Class Rating: 64
FOR MAIDENS, THREE YEARS OLD
AND UPWARD. THREE YEAR OLDS,
118 LBS.; OLDER, 123 LBS.
CLAIMING PRICE $6,250.
RECOMMENDED CHOICES
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# 4
CELTIC EXPRESS 5/2
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# 5
KATIES PICK 3/1
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# 1
HITCHCOCKED 4/1
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CELTIC EXPRESS is the
most competitive wager in
this race. With better than
average trips to the
winner's circle, Mata will
almost certainly have this
gelding in excellent
position to win the contest.
Mata should be able to get
this gelding to break out
early for this event. The
speed rating of 63 from his
most recent affair looks
very good in here.
KATIES PICK - Has
formidable Equibase Class
Figures relative to this
group - worth a look. Have
to take notice when any
equine makes a quick major
improvement.
HITCHCOCKED - The
class figure of today's race
is much lower than his last
affair.
River Downs - Race
#11 - Post: 4:35pm
Rating:
   
Choice Plays:
#9 AFTERNOON STROLL (ML=6/1)
#6 CHERUBINI (ML=7/2)
AFTERNOON STROLL
- Looking at the information
on all of these ponies, this
is the only one to stalk.
Worth a long look at this
horse. I like to bet on this
angle, a racer coming back
off a good effort within the
last month. I like the case
that this filly's last
rating, 90, is tops in this
field. Ranked numero uno in
EPS (earnings per start).
Another sign that this
animal is classy.
CHERUBINI - Going
on Lasix for the first time.
While a conventional
handicapping angle, it's
still quite useful when
separating your contenders.
Vulnerable
Contenders: #4 YO
ELEVEN (ML=9/5), #2 SUPER
PONI (ML=5/1), #1 ZAVABELLE
(ML=6/1),
YO ELEVEN -
Today's affair is 6
furlongs. Hasn't finished in
the money in a short
distance affair in the last
60 days. Not the best of
omens. Won't be easy for
this horse to beat this
field off of that last speed
figure. Not probable to
improve enough to run a
figure close to today's
class rating, so put her on
the questionable contenders
list. SUPER PONI
- No favorable outcomes for
this runner in a short
distance event over the last
sixty days tells me that
this filly is in a tough
spot In the last race this
questionable contender
finished tenth. Doesn't show
much potential for her
chances in today's event.
ZAVABELLE -
If she goes off close to the
morning line odds of 6/1,
I'll have to pass.
STRAIGHT WAGERS: |
#9 AFTERNOON STROLL is
the play if we get odds
of 7/5 or better |
EXACTA
WAGERS: |
Box [6,9] |
TRIFECTA WAGERS: |
9 with 6 with [1,3,8]
Total Cost: $3 |
SUPERFECTA WAGERS: |
Pass |
** Some or all wagers above
involve entries and assume
all parts of entry start the
race **
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